2. The Opportunity
But the political landscape has shifted dramatically. At this moment, several factors are converging. They present a unique political opportunity for the provincial government to ban new oil and gas infrastructure on the coast – a move that would demonstrate bold leadership, integrity and consistency with BC’s current climate change commitments. Consider these facts:
1. Since 2006, dozens of national and provincial opinion polls demonstrate unprecedented public concern over climate change and greenhouse gas emissions. The environment – particularly with respect to climate change policy – has become a ‘voting issue’.
2. On the coast, these concerns focus specifically on oil and gas development. For example, a poll conducted by Mustel Group in 2006 confirmed that 3 in 4 British Columbians support a ban on oil tankers in the Inside Passage. In coastal electoral districts, that number rose to over 8 in 10 supporting a ban. The opposition to tankers cuts across party lines and has saliency with all voters. Over 72% of both Federal Liberal and Conservative voters support a ban on tankers, as well as over 85% of federal NDP voters. These numbers increase by 8-10% in coastal areas. A follow-up poll conducted by Ipsos-Reid confirmed these results.
3. At the same time, Premier Campbell has led BC into joining the Western Regional Climate Action Initiative (WRCAI) in order to more boldly tackle a region-wide reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. WRCAI is led by the Governors of five Western US states - all of whom unanimously support a permanent ban on oil drilling off the West Coast.
4. A campaign for a Federal ban on oil tanker traffic has already attracted considerable support with over 16000 people signing petitions to keep BC’s North Coast oil tanker free.
5. Other factors, including the current minority Federal Parliament, and lukewarm industry interest, virtually guarantee that coastal drilling will not advance during Premier Campbell’s tenure.